Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.037732 0.040741 0.043900 0.047467 0.051390 0.055578 0.060397
2025-04-20 0.032937 0.037192 0.041906 0.047535 0.054103 0.061554 0.070693
2025-04-27 0.030034 0.035075 0.040893 0.048147 0.057012 0.067569 0.081210
2025-05-04 0.027475 0.032949 0.039475 0.047898 0.058587 0.071838 0.089728
2025-05-11 0.025491 0.031261 0.038330 0.047729 0.060052 0.075876 0.098089
2025-05-18 0.023812 0.029771 0.037249 0.047455 0.061230 0.079484 0.106029
2025-05-25 0.022449 0.028558 0.036390 0.047335 0.062506 0.083204 0.114317
2025-06-01 0.021043 0.027178 0.035193 0.046629 0.062859 0.085590 0.120801
2025-06-08 0.019733 0.025834 0.033940 0.045726 0.062818 0.087340 0.126398
2025-06-15 0.018715 0.024819 0.033061 0.045265 0.063335 0.089873 0.133317
2025-06-22 0.017813 0.023908 0.032263 0.044846 0.063849 0.092388 0.140355
2025-06-29 0.016853 0.022862 0.031211 0.043979 0.063605 0.093684 0.145474
2025-07-06 0.016363 0.022467 0.031076 0.044473 0.065490 0.098459 0.156840
2025-07-13 0.015758 0.021873 0.030619 0.044445 0.066543 0.101967 0.166357
2025-07-20 0.015357 0.021554 0.030543 0.044988 0.068525 0.107113 0.179209
2025-07-27 0.014780 0.020945 0.029998 0.044753 0.069207 0.110105 0.188411
2025-08-03 0.014265 0.020403 0.029523 0.044596 0.069993 0.113304 0.198270
2025-08-10 0.013761 0.019855 0.029011 0.044343 0.070588 0.116190 0.207771
2025-08-17 0.013323 0.019389 0.028604 0.044233 0.071408 0.119516 0.218436
2025-08-24 0.012790 0.018752 0.027896 0.043582 0.071232 0.120994 0.225485
2025-08-31 0.012250 0.018082 0.027107 0.042750 0.070677 0.121717 0.231014
2025-09-07 0.011828 0.017584 0.026573 0.042324 0.070825 0.123764 0.239528
2025-09-14 0.011438 0.017122 0.026077 0.041938 0.071015 0.125894 0.248410